WIMBLEDON COUNTDOWN:

The case for a 100/1 upset…

Tuesday 21st June 2022

Wimbledon is on the way. And the weather forecast is good…

Lots to look forward to with the annual SW19 grass court Grand Slam just days away.

And to add some more excitement to the mix – how about the prospect of landing a huge-odds Each Way payout at the All England Club…
 
28/1, 50/1, 100/1…

Recent Grand Slams have produced some massive prices.

Ones to Watch in 2022 teenager Coco Gauff was a 28/1 runner-up at the French Open earlier this month.

And at the Australian Open, 100/1 finalist Danielle Collins – backed mid-tournament at 50/1 by Ones to Watch members – was just the latest in a long line of big-odds outsiders. Rewarding Each Way backers prepared to think outside the box at the Major tournaments. Especially in the women’s game…

Just look at these stats…

• The last 10 Wimbledon Women’s titles have been won by 7 different players

Maiden winners – since 2015:

• 14 of the last 26 Women’s Grand Slams have been won by players lifting a Major trophy for the first time

Since the Australian Open 2017, when Serena Williams last won a Major title:

• The last 21 Women's Grand Slams have produced 14 different winners

Since the start of 2020:

• 4 of the last 9 Women’s Grand Slam winners have gone off at day-one Outright Winner prices of 50/1+. Including 3 at 100/1+

• 7 of the last 9 Women’s Grand Slams have produced at least one finalist at odds of 33/1+. Including 6 players at 100/1+

Back the outsiders…

If we look at recent Wimbledon history in particular. In the last few years, we’ve seen players making the finals at eye-opening prices, across both the men’s and women’s events. For example:
 
2021 – Women’s runner-up Karolina Pliskova was 50/1
2020 – [Didn’t play – coronavirus]
2019 – Women’s winner Simona Halep was 18/1
2018 – Men’s runner-up Kevin Anderson was 50/1
2017 – Men’s runner-up Marin Cilic was 28/1
2016 – Women’s runner-up Angelique Kerber was 25/1
2015 – Women’s runner-up Garbine Muguruza was 80/1

And if the thought of a half-the-odds Each Way payout isn’t enough for you, then it’s worth noting that underdogs really do win Outright at Grand Slam level:

2021 – Emma Raducanu won the US Open at 100/1
2021 – Barbora Krejcikova won the French Open at 175/1
2020 – Iga Swiatek won the French Open at 100/1
2020 – Sofia Kenin won the Australian Open at 50/1
2019 – Ashleigh Barty won the French Open at 22/1 
2018 – Naomi Osaka won the US Open at 50/1
2017 – Sloane Stephens won the US Open at 40/1
2017 – Jelena Ostapenko won the French Open at 100/1
2016 – Angelique Kerber won the Australian Open at 50/1
2015 – Flavia Pennetta won the US Open at 200/1

Announcement coming soon…

If you like the sound of landing big odds like those, then you’re in the right place. From those Grand Slam examples above, Ones to Watch followers were on 100/1 Swiatek, 50/1 Kenin, 40/1 Stephens. Along with 50/1 Anderson and 28/1 Cilic at Wimbledon. Plus, 50/1 Osaka and 100/1 Ostapenko featured in our annual ‘Ones to Watch’ list as teenagers. It’s true what they say: the early bird gets the worm...

I’ll be going after the big prices again at Wimbledon next week…

Over on my members-only Ones to Watch service I’ll be providing a full VIP package, with Outright Winner picks, match bets, and DAILY emails and analysis. Plus, I’ll be contactable by email every day to answer questions and help members out.

The doors will be opening very soon. Watch this space. I’ll be in touch with the details you need to get onboard for my exclusive daily Wimbledon advice.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch