OTW Extra Email Archive - March 2020

Ones to Watch 2020 List: The story so far...

Friday 27th March 2020

In your Ones to Watch EXTRA email today:

  • Progress report...
  • Ones to Watch in 2020…
  • 10 players, 5 trophies...

Progress report...

At the end of last year - 24th December, to be precise - I sent out my Ones to Watch in 2020 report.

This latest version of our annual list of little-known, young & improving players contained the details of 10 men & women to look out for in the 2020 season and beyond.

With a pause in play on the tennis tours right now, we can take a look at where our 10 Ones to Watch in 2020 players stand in the current, ‘frozen’ world rankings.

And we can also take note of who’s been getting to finals and the business end of tournaments, and at what prices...

The story so far...

You can view the original, pre-season 2020 list here.

Here’s a progress report of how they’ve all been getting on so far this year.

Starting with the men:

(Playing surface in brackets)

Jannik Sinner

Age: 18
Country: Italy

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #78
Current World Ranking: #73

Tournaments Played in 2020: 5

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Quarter Final - ATP Rotterdam (indoor hard)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Age: 19
Country: Canada

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #21
Current World Ranking: #20

Tournaments Played in 2020: 6

Best 2020 Tournament Results To Date:
Final - Runner-Up - ATP Rotterdam (indoor hard) @ 66/1
Final - Runner-Up - ATP Marseille (indoor hard) @ 12/1

Hubert Hurkacz

Age: 23
Country: Poland

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #37
Current World Ranking: #29

Tournaments Played in 2020: 5

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Semi Final - ATP Auckland (hard)

Reilly Opelka

Age: 22
Country: USA

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #36
Current World Ranking: #39

Tournaments Played in 2020: 4

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Final - Winner - ATP Delray Beach (hard) @ 12/1

And for the women:

Cori Gauff

Age: 16
Country: USA

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #68
Current World Ranking: #52

Tournaments Played in 2020: 2

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
4th Round - Australian Open (hard)

Sofia Kenin

Age: 21
Country: USA

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #14
Current World Ranking: #4

Tournaments Played in 2020: 6

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Final - Winner - Australian Open (hard) @ 50/1
Final - Winner - WTA Lyon (indoor hard) @ 11/4

Karolina Muchova

Age: 23
Country: Czech Republic

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #21
Current World Ranking: #26

Tournaments Played in 2020: 4

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
2nd Round - Australian Open (hard)
2nd Round - WTA Doha (hard)

Amanda Anisimova

Age: 18
Country: USA

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #24
Current World Ranking: #28

Tournaments Played in 2020: 4

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Semi Final - WTA Auckland (hard)

Veronika Kudermetova

Age: 22
Country: Russia

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #41
Current World Ranking: #40

Tournaments Played in 2020: 6

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
Semi Final - WTA Hobart (hard)

Iga Swiatek

Age: 18
Country: Poland

2019 Year-end World Ranking: #60
Current World Ranking: #49

Tournaments Played in 2020: 2

Best 2020 Tournament Result To Date:
4th Round - Australian Open (hard court)

10 players, 5 trophies...

It’s early days in the season of course, even before the current hiatus. But so far overall, our Ones to Watch in 2020 list has been doing us proud.

The progress report shows that seven of our 10 players have moved up the world rankings.

Between them, our players have collected three trophy wins and two runner-up prizes.

In terms of performance in the betting markets, one way to run a bottom-line, acid test is to look at the profit & loss figures, if you’d backed every player to win every tournament...

Across the 10 players, that would be a combined total of 44 tournaments played so far.

In the Outright Winner markets, betting Each Way (at 1/2 odds for 1-2 places) to level 1-point stakes (2 pts total stake per player per tournament), that would be a total of 88 pts staked.

Using the prices quoted above, which are taken from the Calendar page on the Ones to Watch website, where I record the winner & runner-up odds for every tournament throughout the season.

The figures for the Ones to Watch in 2020 list so far come out as:

Staked = 88 pts
Returned = 144.13
Profit/ Loss = +56.13
ROI = 63.78%

Our star performer has undoubtedly been Sofia Kenin. That 50/1 Australian Open win accounts for 77 pts of the 144.13 pts returned.

Felix Auger-Aliassime also needs a special mention. The teenager is still searching for a first ATP title victory. But the young Canadian has now reached a total of five finals...

Last season, Auger-Aliassime made three finals, finishing runner-up each time, at odds of 50/1, 5/1 and 16/1.

So far in 2020, Felix has already reached two finals, at odds of 66/1 and 12/1. He’s very much knocking on the door for a first trophy win.

Stay positive…

With the tennis season on hold and the country on lockdown, I have plenty of time to do my number-crunching and analysis.

All the work we do behind the scenes now will help us in the ongoing Ones to Watch quest to find appealing outsiders at attractive prices, later in the season and beyond.

The tennis will return. And between now and then, I’ll be working to help you get fully prepared.

I’ll be back again soon with more Ones to Watch players & pointers for you.

Until then, take care.

P.S

Ray can help...

When I visit my Publisher’s offices, I often bump into a guy called Ray Collins, who is based in the same building...

Ray is a health writer. He’s told me an interesting thing or two about varicose veins over the years (I’ve got my Grandad’s legs…).

And right now, with a global health crisis underway, Ray could be a useful person to listen to.

Ray has been producing his free Good Life Letter newsletter for 15 years now. He’s even written a couple of health books, too. And over the last week or so, Ray has broken his silence on the coronavirus and given his take on the situation.

I for one found the article a fascinating read. You can read it by clicking on the link below. If you’ve never heard of a ‘salt inhaler’ before, then you may well learn something new for the day, too…

Click on the link below and you’ll also receive Ray’s follow-up emails for free. You can unsubscribe at any time.

Read Ray’s coronavirus article here

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch