OTW Extra Email Archive - September 2026

Notes from the Tour: A tale of 9 heartbreakers...

Thursday 24th September 2026

The Ones to Watch service is all about backing outsiders at big odds. That requires a certain mindset…

Endurance is the word. More Mo Farah than Usain Bolt.

If you were on our recent pick Frances Tiafoe at 100/1+ for the men’s US Open, then you’ll have experienced the heartache of a semi-final near-miss…

Tiafoe was just one match win away from bagging you and I a massive Each Way payout at half the odds.

This is the game we play…

When the glory days come – they are truly glorious. Arthur Fils winning his maiden ATP Masters title in Cincinnati last month was one of those. A 33/1 winner.

But the other side is the waiting game. The long-term mentality. And the ‘what if’ moments that inevitably pepper each season. With 2026 being no exception…

In a parallel world, maybe we’re celebrating and counting our winnings from these selections… all coming very close to bringing in large returns from our Ones to Watch picks this year:

  • Daniil Medvedev @ 25/1 at Indian Wells – runner-up…

  • Karolina Muchova @ 50/1 at Wimbledon – runner-up…

And with general Each Way terms of 1/2 odds for reaching the final. These seven gut-wrenchers are on my list, too. Each of them ‘just one match win’ away from a place payout – or better…

  • Kimberly Birrell @ 250/1 Adelaide – semi final…

  • Jessica Pegula @ 40/1 Australian Open – semi final…

  • Arthur Fils @ 80/1 Miami – semi final…

  • Iva Jovic @ 14/1 Charleston – semi final…

  • Arthur Fils @ 33/1 Madrid – semi final…

  • Frances Tiafoe @ 150/1 US Open – semi final…

  • Cristina Bucsa @ 40/1 Guadalajara – semi final…

On the other hand, when she won the Australian Open for us last year at 100/1, Madison Keys saved match point in the semi final…

The margins really are small. The potential rewards are massive.

It’s all about getting on at the best price. Taking on the favourites. And being brave at the big odds…

This week alone, Ones to Watch members are on players at top prices of 33/1, 50/1, and 66/1. All placed before a ball was hit in their respective tournaments…

And with the Asian Swing only just getting started this week. With both the ATP and WTA tours in Beijing for the China Open which starts next Wednesday…

A tournament which last year produced a 66/1 runner-up in the men’s event – Ones to Watch youngster Learner Tien…

And a 50/1 shot in the women’s 2025 Beijing final – with Linda Noskova providing an Each Way payout for members…

Ones to Watch Testimonials for 50/1 shot Linda Noskova

It’s time to ask the question…

Are you up for the long-odds challenge?

Can you handle backing more losing bets than winners. In the knowledge that when the Big One lands, it’s all worth it?

If the answer is yes, then give my full members-only service a go. It’s not for everyone. But it might just be for you…

Not a member yet? Join the club here >>

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch