Tennis Betting Advice - August 2023

8 of the last 16 US Open champions tick this box...

Thursday 24th August 2023

The US Open draw will be made today. The qualifying rounds are in full swing. And the 1st round proper starts on Monday afternoon, UK time…

With the Flushing Meadows venue the scene of many a big-price upset in recent years. I’ve been going through the New York numbers today. All part of our big-odds prep for next week’s Grand Slam event…

The US Open: a recent history of surprise winners & finalists…

With this being the last Major of the year, sometimes the star names are starting to flag after a busy season & loaded summer. Making the favourites potentially vulnerable by the time that the US Open rolls around in late August…

I’ve been keeping a record of tournament Outright Winner odds since 2015. Here’s the list of US Open finalists, including their Day 1 starting prices:

US Open – MEN’S:

Champion: Carlos Alcaraz @ 5/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Casper Ruud @ 66/1

Champion: Daniil Medvedev @ 4/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Novak Djokovic @ 8/11

Champion: Dominic Thiem @ 9/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Alexander Zverev @ 25/1

Champion: Rafael Nadal @ 3/1
Runner-Up: Daniil Medvedev @ 14/1

Champion: Novak Djokovic @ 3/1
Runner-Up: Juan-Martin Del Potro @ 16/1

Champion: Rafael Nadal @ 11/4
Runner-Up: Kevin Anderson @ 150/1

Champion: Stan Wawrinka @ 25/1
Runner-Up: Novak Djokovic @ Evens

Champion: Novak Djokovic @ 5/4
Runner-Up: Roger Federer @ 9/2


US Open – WOMEN’S:

Champion: Iga Swiatek @ 4/1
Runner-Up: Ons Jabeur @ 25/1

Champion: Emma Raducanu @ 100/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Leylah Fernandez @ 250/1

Champion: Naomi Osaka @ 11/2
Runner-Up: Victoria Azarenka @ 22/1

Champion: Bianca Andreescu @ 14/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Serena Williams @ 5/1

Champion: Naomi Osaka @ 50/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Serena Williams @ 6/1

Champion: Sloane Stephens @ 40/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Madison Keys @ 16/1

Champion: Angelique Kerber @ 10/1
Runner-Up: Karolina Pliskova @ 33/1

Champion: Flavia Pennetta @ 200/1 – first Grand Slam title
Runner-Up: Roberta Vinci @ 500/1


Watch out for first-timers…

As well as a stack of different names on the trophy, and a tantalising roster of big-odds winners & finalists. Those recent US Open results highlight a trend towards newcomers taking home the late-summer Grand Slam silverware…

  • Across the Men’s & Women’s combined, in the last 8 years: 50% of US Open champions have been first-time Grand Slam winners (8 out of 16; 3 men, 5 women)
  • Average odds of Men’s first-time Grand Slam winners at the US Open in that period = 6/1
  • Average odds of Women’s first-time Grand Slam winners at the US Open in that period = 80/1

Those are some exciting numbers for starters. And I’ve got even more big-odds evidence and opportunities to discuss with you tomorrow…!

Already in the book…

In the ante-post betting, we’re already on Taylor Fritz and Hubert Hurkacz at big Each Way prices for the men’s US Open 2023. Both tick the box as players looking to taste Grand Slam glory for the first time…

  • As I write this afternoon, Unibet have both Fritz and Hurkacz available to back at 66/1 (Each Way: 1/2 odds 1-2 places). Ladbrokes & Coral also have Fritz @ 66/1


I’ll be back tomorrow with more US Open stats and prep for you, as we continue our research ahead of next week’s trip to the Big Apple…

Want to get in touch? Email me at:

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

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