Tennis Betting Advice - January 2020

We’re all set for the Australian Open…

Friday 17th January 2020

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Momentum on the road to Melbourne…
  • All set for the Australian Open…
  • Daily emails start Sunday at 8pm…

Momentum on the road to Melbourne…

We’ve started the new season in good form.

In the first two weeks of 2020, we’ve got four tournament picks through to the semi final stage. With one – 16/1 & 11/1 pick Ekaterina Alexandrova at WTA Shenzhen – going all the way and taking a trophy.

Most of our early-season selections have come from our new 2020 list which contains 10 promising youngsters

Of those, Hubert Hurkacz, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Veronika Kudermetova and Amanda Anisimova have all reached semi finals in the opening fortnight of the campaign.

All four just missed out on a place in the finals. But getting to the business end as they have is what it’s all about in terms of giving us winning chances and tradable positions.

The draw has been made…

Anisimova reached the semi final stage at WTA Auckland last week…

Serena Williams comprehensively outplayed the 18-year-old in that match, taking just 44 minutes to beat the teenager, 6-1, 6-1.

In Thursday’s Australian Open draw, Anisimova was been placed in the opposite side of the draw to Serena. Meaning a re-match can only be on the cards if they both make the final.

Having won that Auckland title, the 38-year-old Williams is the 4/1 favourite for next week’s Australian Open.

Anisimova is a 40/1 outsider. The youngster showed her Grand Slam potential last year, reaching the semi finals at the French Open.

Elsewhere in the women’s draw, fellow American and Ones to Watch in 2020 selection Sofia Kenin could face Serena at the quarter final stage, should they both get that far…

At No.15 in the world, Kenin is currently the highest-ranked player from our list of 10 names to follow this season. In the Women’s Outright Winner market, Kenin is 50/1 for the Australian Open.

Bencic and Rublev in the book…

Towards the end of last season, we flagged up two early-bird Ones to Watch for the Australian Open 2020.

In the Men’s, Alex De Minaur (80/1) had to pull out yesterday – suffering an abdominal muscle tear while playing for Australia at the ATP Cup last week. As stated on our Tennis Betting Rules page, pre-tournament bets will be void with the bookies that I recommended. (Although, as ever, the advice is to check with the specific firm that you use).

For the Women’s, last September we flagged up Belinda Bencic for Australia at 50/1 and 40/1. The 22-year-old is now a general 33/1 chance.

Bencic is in the bottom half of the draw – avoiding Serena Williams. Belinda’s route doesn’t look too bad. It could certainly have been worse.

Other names to watch out for in the Swiss player’s section of the draw are current & former Ones to Watch nominations, Veronika Kudermetova (as big as 250/1), Anett Kontaveit (100/1) & the in-form Aryna Sabalenka (16/1).

  • This week we put forward Andrey Rublev as our first big-price selection of the year – 66/1 for Australia and 100/1+ for the US Open. Read that article in full here
  • Rublev won again this morning, beating Auger-Aliassime in Adelaide to reach his second final of the season – from two tournaments played

A history of big prices at the Australian Open…

The Aussie Open action gets underway on Sunday night, from 11pm (UK time). We’re just days away from one of the four biggest events on the tennis calendar…

This tournament has been a rich source of big odds in recent years.

The Melbourne Park venue has borne witness to plenty of surprises, with outsiders & underdogs going deep to the semi finals and finals – at some massive prices.

This list should whet your appetite…

Australian Open Finals:

(Pre-tournament Outright Winner odds in brackets)

  • 2014 – Dominika Cibulkova – Women’s Runner-Up (200/1)
  • 2014 – Stan Wawrinka – Men’s Winner (66/1)
  • 2016 – Angelique Kerber – Women’s Winner (50/1)
  • 2017 – Venus Williams – Women’s Runner-Up (100/1)
  • 2018 – Marin Cilic – Men’s Runner-Up (33/1)

And reaching the Semi Finals in the last two years alone:

  • 2018 – Hyeon Chung – Men’s Semi Finals (300/1)
  • 2018 – Kyle Edmund – Men’s Semi Finals (100/1)
  • 2019 – Stefanos Tsitsipas – Men’s Semi Finals (50/1)
  • 2019 – Lucas Pouille – Men’s Semi Finals (200/1)
  • 2019 – Danielle Collins – Women’s Semi Finals (500/1)

As those winners, runners-up and semi-finalists show – players reaching the business end of the tournament at big odds are a frequent occurrence at the Australian Open…

Going after outsiders & underdogs and young & improving players at attractive Each Way prices is what my Ones to Watch service is all about…

For example, from those names above – we had 33/1 Cilic in 2018.

And Tsitsipas had appeared as one of 10 players in our Ones to Watch in 2019 report last year, less than a month before that breakthrough semi-final run in Melbourne.

Catch up on our new player list for the 2020 season here.

Daily emails start Sunday at 8pm…

I’ll be hunting at those kinds of odds again this coming fortnight – starting from Sunday night.

We’ll be going for underdogs, outsiders and attractive prices, in both the daily match betting and the tournament Outright Winner markets.

I’ll be in touch by 8pm on Sunday with your Day One email. And at the same time every day throughout the Australian Open fortnight.

See you Sunday night!

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch