Tennis Betting Advice - July 2024
Wimbledon: Side with youth at 80/1 and 150/1...
Wednesday 3rd July 2024
Wimbledon – Email #3
Good morning. Play starts at Wimbledon at 11am - weather permitting. Most bookies keep their tournament Outright Winner markets up during play at the Grand Slams.
The three players we’re looking at today are all due on court at 1pm or later. Again, weather permitting…
Someone asked me what I do for a living the other day. I said I’m either a King or a Clown - depending how the sport is going…
One week in Paris, we’re cheering a 150/1 shot into the French Open final. Next thing you know, my 66/1 Wimbledon pick is being dumped out in the 1st Round…
Such ups and downs are nothing new. This is the game we play.
If you’re new here: Ones to Watch is all about backing appealing outsiders at attractive Each Way prices…
Ones to Watch member Allan T puts it well:
“Great result on Paolini - had £2.50 e.w @ 150/1 and dipped in again with £10ew @ 100/1. This sort of result only gives the confidence to stick with the process/selections as it is a great watch when you have a finalist at those odds knowing you are on a big win or a Really big win”
In other words, it only takes one…
Our 40/1 men’s picks - Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz - both came through the 1st Round with little fuss…
But after a painful first day on Monday, we’re currently empty-handed in the women’s event…. and with world no.3 Aryna Sabalenka withdrawing through injury, and last year’s champion Marketa Vondrousova knocked out in the 1st Round… we can’t have that…
Three Ones to Watch youngsters who all have the potential to go very well this fortnight at big outsider prices:
DIANA SHNAIDER featured in my pre-season Ones to Watch in 2024 report. The powerful Russian is 20 years old now, and has won her first two WTA titles this season - including Bad Homburg on grass in Germany last month. Diana is up to a new career high of no.30 in the world. A left-hander sprung a surprise and won the Wimbledon women’s title at big odds last summer - could we see another here? Shnaider is on a six-match winning streak on grass right now, and plays the no-fear, attacking tennis that we love.
LINDA NOSKOVA was also listed in our 2024 report. Still a teenager, the 19-year-old world no.26 has the potential to follow in the footsteps of last season’s 100/1+ Czech women’s Grand Slam finalists, Vondrousova, and Karolina Muchova. We’ve already backed Noskova a couple of times at massive odds in the Majors. We can get 100/1+ again here. She has the bigtime game to mix it with the best.
DAYANA YASTREMSKA is a Ones to Watch name that long-time members will remember from before the pandemic. At the start of 2020, I had Dayana down as neck-and-neck with - if not even ahead of - Sofia Kenin, as a future Grand Slam champion. Kenin came out the blocks early and landed the Australian Open for us that January, at 50/1. Ukrainian Yastremska then had a tough time of it for a couple of years. But she caught my eye on her grass comeback in Birmingham a couple of summers ago (read my ‘grand day out’ story here).
We’ve backed Yastremska before at huge odds. She’s the kind of hit-or-miss player who has the potential to blaze through the draw, reeling off straight-sets wins in double-quick time when on song (again: the no-fear tennis that can reap big rewards). Dayana showed how dangerous she can be at the Majors earlier this year, winning eight matches in a row to come through qualifying and reach a maiden Grand Slam semi final in Australia, having gone off at triple-figure odds. We can get three figures again here. The current world no.27 is now 24 years of age, and could be building towards the best phase of her career.
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Ones to Watch picks – Wimbledon:
See above for full details
Women’s Outright Winner – Each Way* (1/2 odds 1-2 places):
Diana Shnaider @ 80/1 Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betfred, Ladbrokes, Coral, 888 Sport, Unibet, SpreadEx, Sporting Index
Linda Noskova @ 150/1 Betfred, 125/1 Bet365, Skybet, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor, Betway, 100/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, 888 Sport
Dayana Yastremska @ 350/1 Unibet, BetUK & BetMGM, 200/1 SpreadEx, Sporting Index, 150/1 Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betfred, 888 Sport, Boylesports, Betway, 125/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, BetVictor, 100/1 Bet365, William Hill
*Note: You can sometimes get the best bet-package by backing a player Win Only at the best price AND to Reach the Final (instead of Each Way). As I write, Linda Noskova is 100/1 to Reach the Final with Bet365 (market closes at 11am).
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I’ll be back on Monday with a Wimbledon update for you.
You can watch the tournament live on the BBC, with multi-court coverage on the Red Button and iPlayer.
P.S
Want to get in touch? Email me at:
oliver.upstone@oxonpress.co.uk
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone