Tennis Betting Advice - June 2023

French Open - Day 11: Match Treble, and a 20/1 Correct Score...

Wednesday 7th June 2023

Good morning and welcome to Day 11 of your French Open 2023 Daily Service. Play starts at 10am.

Win Only + Reach the Final…

After yesterday’s first wave of quarter finals produced four out of four victories for the pre-match favourites - with three of those four wins settled in straight sets (3-0, 3-1, 2-0, 2-0). The bookies have removed the Each Way options from their French Open Outright Winner markets.

Now betting Win Only…

I’m happy that we struck our 99/1 Each Way double on Alexander Zverev and Ons Jabeur yesterday - a day before our selections take to the court in their respective quarter finals today.

You can still replicate our individual ‘Each Way’ bets on Zverev and Jabeur, by taking the Win Only prices in the Outright Winner markets, along with backing our players To Reach the Final (in some cases even beating the best potential returns for the standard each-way combinations). But you can’t get the Each Way double anymore. If you got on yesterday, then be happy to have that massive-price pairing in your pocket. The oddsmakers rate both Zverev and Jabeur as strong favourites to win today, and reach the semi finals…

Our two in action today…

Zverev is around 1/3 (1.33) to beat newcomer Tomas Martin Etcheverry. The Argentinean has shown great clay-court form to climb up the rankings this season, now a Top 50 player and set to go higher. With his headband and passionate approach to the game, comparisons could be made to Argentine hero, Juan-Martin del Potro. The upcoming 23-year-old doesn’t quite thump the ball as hard as the great Delpo did, but then again, few people ever have.

As you can tell, I like Etcheverry as a promising new player on the scene. But this will be by far the biggest match of Tomas’ career to date, and a debut in a Grand Slam quarter final. While as discussed in yesterday’s analysis, former world no.2 Zverev is on something of a comeback mission here in Paris. With the 26-year-old a two-time semi-finalist at Roland Garros, including last year where Sascha suffered a terrible injury against the eventual champion Rafa Nadal. I’m trusting in the German to hold good today.

The same goes for Jabeur, who is priced at similar odds of 4/11 (1.36) to beat Grand Slam quarter-final debutant Beatriz Haddad Maia. The Brazilian played out the longest women’s match of the year in the last round, eventually coming through 7-5 in the third set. While Ons reeled off her third 2-0 victory out of four matches, gathering momentum nicely as she looks to emulate and improve on last season’s runs to the Wimbledon and US Open finals…

The head-to-head is 2-0 to Jabeur. With Ons beating Beatriz 6-3, 6-0 in their sole previous meeting on clay, which came in the WTA Stuttgart quarter finals in April.

6-0 to Iga…

Yesterday’s men’s quarter finals saw Novak Djokovic record his 10th successive victory over Karen Khachanov. And Carlos Alcaraz moved to a 5-0 head-to-head record over Stefanos Tsitsipas…

After Jabeur takes on Haddad Maia, today’s second women’s quarter final also features a dominant head-to-head

World no.1 and reigning champ Iga Swiatek is 1/10 (1.1) at best to beat Coco Gauff. Iga swept aside the American teenager in last year’s French Open final, 6-1, 6-3. And since that Major final debut for Coco, Iga has beaten her a further three times. Extending the career head-to-head to 6-0 to Swiatek…

Talking of ‘six-nil,’ the Polish winning machine has also, as we’ve discussed, been posting a series of 6-0 set score-lines. With Iga racking up a total of seven ‘bagel’ sets her last seven matches. With five of those 6-0 scores coming in the 2nd Set.

Swiatek has also posted 6-0 bagels in two of her last three encounters with Gauff…

This match-up is the world no.1 v the world no.6. On the one hand, we have to respect those rankings and the chances of Coco learning from those previous defeats. On the other hand, you don’t build up a 6-0 head-to-head over an opponent in less than two years by luck. With Swiatek beating Gauff half-a-dozen times between May 2021 and February 2023.

In the Total Games market, we successfully backed Under 16.5 Games when we targeted Swiatek’s match the other day, against a lower-ranked opponent than Coco. For today’s match, let’s take the generally available Under 18.5 Games line. A bet which has paid out in each of their last five meetings, including last year’s French Open final.

For a match treble based on the analysis above, I’m putting up this selection for today, which pays around 7/2 (4.5):

Set Betting: Jabeur 2-0 v Haddad Maia

Total Games: Swiatek v Gauff - Under 18.5 Games

Match Winner: Zverev to beat Etcheverry

And for bigger prices, let’s take the 6-0 score-line in the 2nd Set Correct Score markets for both Jabeur and Swiatek.

And praise be… Oddschecker are actually displaying this market on their site this time…

Swiatek 2nd Set 6-0 is around 8/1. With Jabeur as big as 20/1


Ones to Watch picks - French Open

See above for full details

Quarter Finals today:

  • Treble: Jabeur 2-0 Set Betting, Swiatek-Gauff Under 18.5 Games, Zverev to beat Etcheverry @ 18/5 (4.6) Bet365, William Hill, 7/2 (4.5) BetVictor, 10/3+ (4.33+) Unibet, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betway

  • 2nd Set Correct Score: Jabeur 6-0 @ 20/1 Boylesports, 15/1 Betway, 14/1 Skybet, 13/1 Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Sporting Index Fixed Odds

  • 2nd Set Correct Score: Swiatek 6-0 @ 8/1 Boylesports, 15/2 Betfred (listed in ‘Other’ markets), 7/1 Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Sporting Index Fixed Odds, 13/2 Betway


Play starts at 10am, with Jabeur and Haddad Maia first on Court Philippe-Chatrier. Followed by Swiatek and Gauff. Then Zverev v Etcheverry. With Holger Rune v Casper Ruud in the night session.

You can watch the French Open live on Eurosport.

I’ll be back tomorrow morning with your Day 12 email.

Want to get in touch? Email me at:

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch