Tennis Betting Advice - September 2019

Monday 30th September 2019

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • De Minaur wins in Zhuhai…
  • 20/1 and 25/1 shots this week…
  • Play starts 3am…

I said that we were playing in the right ball park with our picks…

One of our Ones to Watch in 2019 players, Alex De Minaur went and did the business in China last week. The young Australian won the ATP Zhuhai title at 16/1. That’s the third tournament win of the year for the 20-year-old they call ‘Demon.’

This week the tours remain in Asia, with a big tournament on the hard courts in Beijing (men and women), alongside ATP Tokyo on indoor hard courts.

Who should we be on the lookout for this week? Previous winners are one avenue to go down…

Last week Aryna Sabalenka – another player from our pre-season Ones to Watch in 2019 list – won the WTA Wuhan title (14/1). Backing up her big 40/1 win at the same venue 12 months ago. As I write Sabalenka is 11/1 at best to win in Beijing this week. The 21-year-old from Belarus made the quarter finals here last year.

Ones to Watch this week at 20/1 and 25/1…

Caroline Wozniacki is the reigning champion at WTA Beijing. The Dane was a 25/1 winner here in 2018. Having come through the 1st Round in straight sets this morning, and with big name Simona Halep already knocked out of this section, Wozniacki is currently 25/1 for the repeat. She’s in the same quarter of the draw as Sabalenka. Caro looks worth following at the bigger price.

Freshly minted US Open winner Bianca Andreescu is the 6/1 favourite. We won’t see the big prices for the Canadian teenager again for a while.

In the opposite half of the Beijing draw, Sofia Kenin is one to keep on side while the nice Each Way prices are still available. The 20-year-old American is most definitely on the up – but hasn’t made the Andreescu-sized leap up yet. As such, the odds are still there for ‘Sonya.’

We’ve been following Kenin as One to Watch this summer. She made back-to-back semi finals at prestigious events in Toronto and Cincinnati in August. And more recently, Kenin won the title at WTA Guangzhou. This strong-willed youngster can go well again in China this week. She’s already won her 1st Round match. Odds of 20/1 are available this evening.

In the men’s, Taylor Fritz was one of our Ones to Watch as a teenager. Still only 21, the big-serving American has kicked on nicely this summer – reaching three finals and winning one. With those appearances coming in Eastboure and Los Cabos (as well as Atlanta), Taylor has shown he can play outside of the USA, too.

Fritz is 25/1 at ATP Tokyo this week. He plays the even-bigger-serving Reilly Opelka overnight (3am). This might be a 7-6, 7-6 kind of match, with a mountain of aces. But in each of their four previous encounters, Fritz has had the edge over his 6’11 compatriot. The draw looks promising for Taylor if he can squeeze through that serving test tonight.

Back in Beijing for the men’s event, we go back to the repeat-business angle with 2018 champ Nikoloz Basilashvili

The Georgian is a streaky player and can absolutely rip the ball when on song. Last year he made the tournament breakthrough for the first time in his career, winning ATP Hamburg and then ATP Beijing – both as a 100/1 outsider. This season he followed up in Hamburg, successfully defending his title at 28/1. Basilashvili is 25/1 to deliver again in China.

Ones to Watch this week:

  • Caroline Wozniacki is 25/1 (26.00) Each Way with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportbook, Boylesports
  • Sofia Kenin is 20/1 (21.00) Each Way with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor, 888 Sport, Unibet

Latest WTA Beijing odds here

  • Taylor Fritz is 25/1 (26.00) Each Way with William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral

Latest ATP Tokyo odds here

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili is 25/1 (26.00) Each Way with Bet365, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral, William Hill and in general

Latest ATP Beijing odds here

Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places (ATP Tokyo 1/3 odds 1-2 places).

Tuesday’s play starts from 3.00am (UK time) in Tokyo, and 6am in Beijing. Bookies suspend their Outright Winner markets during the day’s matches.

I’ll be back in the week with more from Japan and China.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch