OTW Extra Email Archive - February 2026
Notes from the Tour: Get ready for March madness...
Thursday 26th February 2026
One of the biggest tournaments of the year starts next week. And it’s got a history of huge prices…
In my eyes, there are few more exciting patches on the tennis calendar than March - just as springtime starts to creep into view…
With the annual ‘Sunshine Double’ in the USA - two joint ATP & WTA, 1000-grade Masters events… nicknamed the 5th Majors… with only the four Grand Slams holding greater status…
Indian Wells starts in California next Wednesday, 4th March
Followed by the Miami Open in Florida, from 17th March
We also call the Sunshine Double, ‘March Madness’... as there’s a great history of shocks, surprises, and big-odds payouts here…
Last year alone, the month of March in the States produced some whoppers at these headline events…
With Jack Draper the 33/1 champion at Indian Wells, and Jakub Mensik a ginormous 250/1 winner in Miami. Along with Holger Rune as a 50/1 runner-up at Indian Wells, and Jessica Pegula a 25/1 runner-up in Miami…
That’s four of the eight finalists across Indian Wells & Miami 2025 at odds of 25/1 - 250/1…
Last season’s March madness follows on from many similar big-odds results in recent years…
And here at Ones to Watch, we’ve been on a fair few of them…
Indian Wells & Miami since 2017:
2025:
ATP Indian Wells – Jack Draper champion – 33/1
ATP Indian Wells – Holger Rune runner-up – 50/1 (Ones to Watch backed 20/1 Each Way mid-tournament)
ATP Miami – Jakub Mensik champion – 250/1
WTA Miami - Jessica Pegula runner-up – 25/1 (OTW Each Way payout)
2024:
WTA Indian Wells – Maria Sakkari runner-up – 66/1
WTA Miami – Danielle Collins champion – 100/1
ATP Miami – Grigor Dimitrov runner-up – 40/1
2023:
WTA Miami - Petra Kvitova champion – 100/1
2022:
ATP Indian Wells – Taylor Fritz champion – 100/1 (OTW 100/1 winner)
ATP Miami – Casper Ruud runner-up – 40/1 (OTW backed 22/1 Each Way mid-tournament)
2021:
ATP Indian Wells – Cameron Norrie champion – 66/1
ATP Indian Wells – Nikoloz Basilashvili runner-up – 100/1
WTA Indian Wells – Paula Badosa champion – 40/1
WTA Indian Wells – Victoria Azarenka runner-up – 33/1
ATP Miami – Hubert Hurkacz champion – 100/1
ATP Miami – Jannik Sinner runner-up – 33/1 (OTW Each Way payout)
WTA Miami – Bianca Andreescu runner-up – 25/1 (OTW Each Way payout)
2020:
Didn’t play – coronavirus
2019:
ATP Indian Wells – Dominic Thiem champion – 80/1
WTA Indian Wells – Bianca Andreescu champion – 100/1 (OTW backed 30/1 Each Way mid-tournament)
ATP Miami – John Isner runner-up – 40/1
WTA Miami – Ashleigh Barty champion – 28/1
2018:
WTA Indian Wells – Naomi Osaka champion – 125/1
WTA Indian Wells – Daria Kasatkina runner-up – 80/1 (OTW Each Way payout)
ATP Miami – John Isner champion – 80/1
ATP Miami – Alexander Zverev runner-up – 25/1
WTA Miami – Sloane Stephens champion – 66/1
WTA Miami – Jelena Ostapenko runner-up – 50/1
2017:
WTA Indian Wells – Elena Vesnina champion – 100/1
WTA Indian Wells – Svetlana Kuznetsova runner-up – 50/1
How to profit from the Sunshine Double…
Like the sound of those big prices?
Well, I’ve already started shortlisting players for Indian Wells next week…
The draws will be made on Monday. After which, I’ll be referring to my already-drafted player shortlist - and looking to map out potential routes to the final, upsets, banana skins, and youngsters and outsiders to follow… with attractive Each Way prices the goal…
Play begins in the 1st round on Wednesday evening, live on Sky Sports Tennis, and I’ll be sending out my first tournament selections before a ball is hit…
If you’re not a member yet…
Sign-up to my members-only Ones to Watch service here. And you’ll receive all my analysis and advice for Indian Wells and Miami this month. Starting from next week…
Don’t miss the next 100/1 winner >>
Enjoy the tennis…
Oliver Upstone