OTW Extra Email Archive - July 2023

One to Watch for the US Open at 50/1...

Monday 31st July 2023

Anything can happen… and it usually does!

So goes the famous saying from the late, great Murray Walker.

Unpredictability is one of the things we love about sport.

Conversely, I’ve spent most of my working life actively trying to predict the outcome of sporting events…

The thing I‘ve learnt along the way is to always believe in the seemingly impossible. Or as I put it to my horse-racing colleague Nick Pullen recently: I always think the ‘magic’ thing can happen…

And I don’t just think this out of blind faith, or stupidity. The evidence is there, right in front of our eyes, time after time after time…

Take Wimbledon earlier this month, of course…

Marketa Vondrousova had never previously been beyond the 2nd round at SW19. She went off this year as a 150/1 rank outsider. My Ones to Watch members were pleased to get on halfway through the tournament, at still-chunky odds of 40/1 and 33/1.

Or what about two weeks ago at WTA Budapest…

Russian teenager Maria Timofeeva LOST in the Qualifying rounds. Only to be parachuted into the main draw as a Lucky Loser… and go on to WIN the whole thing!

And that’s not even the first time this season that a Lucky Loser has got to a final. Jan-Lennard Struff did it at ATP Madrid in May. He started that event as a huge 200/1 underdog. Here at Ones to Watch, members got on Struff along the way, at 35/1 or 33/1 Each Way.

And don’t forget about match-point-saving magic moments, too. Which can be the source of some amazing in-play turnarounds in the betting markets. As well as some great stories…

At last year’s US Open, Carlos Alcaraz saved a match point in the quarter finals. He went on to lift the trophy; his first Grand Slam title - and the rest is history.

Last week alone, we saw a couple of crazy scoreboard comebacks…

In the men’s, at ATP Atlanta on Thursday night, Dan Evans lost from 6-2, 5-3 up. At one stage, he had three consecutive match points. Evans went on to lose, 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 against Dominik Koepfer. The British player also blew a 4-1 lead in the final set.

On the women’s tour, there was an arguably even more unlikely comeback in Warsaw. With recent French Open finalist Karolina Muchova (herself a giant 100/1 outsider there in Paris). Beaten last week from 5-1 up in the third set against world no.174 Rebecca Sramkova - including four missed opportunities on match point.

Again:

Anything can happen… and it usually does!

One to Watch for the US Open at 50/1…

In the spirit of big odds. I’m sharing with you today a piece of early-bird bet advice from over on my members-only Ones to Watch service…

Free of charge.

No strings attached.

A potentially golden nugget for the next month’s big event…

Back in March, I advised Taylor Fritz as One to Watch for the US Open.

The trip to New York is getting closer, with the fourth Grand Slam of the year starting on August Bank Holiday weekend…

Fritz flopped for us at Wimbledon. But he’ll be happy to be back playing on the hard courts in the USA for the rest of the summer. Indeed, on Sunday night, the American no.1 lifted the trophy at the hard-court ATP tournament in Atlanta, Georgia…

  • Taylor Fritz for the men’s US Open 2023 is available at 33/1 Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places) in general. As I write, Unibet & BetUK are a standout 50/1, with BetVictor at 40/1

I’ll be back soon with more big-price info and analysis for you, as we build up to the US Open. I’ve got lots to say on the matter…

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch