Tennis Betting Advice - August 2024

US Open: Back this dangerous 40/1 shot today…

Thursday 29th August 2024

It’s Day 4 of the US Open in New York, and the 2nd Round concludes tonight…

We’ve gone all-American with our Men’s picks. And so far, so good. With 50/1+ Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton looking especially good.

Shelton will take on Frances Tiafoe next, meaning we’ll definitely have a man in the Last 16, going into Week 2. While Tiafoe’s fellow 80/1+ shot, Tommy Paul, plays in the 2nd Round later today.

Our sole Women’s business thus far was done pre-tournament. There’s still a bit of 100/1 around for Marta Kostyuk (Skybet, Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook, with 80/1 elsewhere in general). Kostyuk is into Round 3.

And Ones to Watch teenager, Mirra Andreeva, plays in Round 2 today. Andreeva was 25/1 tops when we backed her earlier this month. The 17-year-old is now 16/1 in general, with 18/1 available at BetVictor and Boylesports.

We go after appealing outsiders, at attractive Each Way prices…

With Thursday’s play starting from 4pm UK time, live on Sky Sports. I want us to add another name to our Women’s Outright Winner book today…

In my write-up for Andreeva, I mentioned youngsters doing well here at the US Open:

  • There have been three teenage women’s champions at the US Open in the past five years – and four of the last six winners have been age 20 or under

Back this dangerous 40/1 shot today…

Along with teenager Mirra Andreeva, another young Russian lady we need to follow here is Diana Shnaider. The swashbuckling, bandana-wearing 20-year-old first got the nod in our 2024 pre-season report. Diana was still in her teens then, and ranked no.93 in the world. This has proved to be her breakout season…

Shnaider has broken her WTA duck, winning not one, not two, but three senior Singles titles in 2024 – so far. And up to a new career-high ranking of no.18

Those maiden trophy triumphs have come on three different surfaces: hard courts, grass, and clay. Diana’s power and shot-making skill mark her out as dangerous in any match. Those are also classic Ones to Watch traits when we’re looking for a new young gun to blaze through a Major tournament draw…

For example, each of Shnaider’s last five match wins this summer have featured at least one 6-0 or 6-1 set in her favour. Whisper it quietly in comparison, but those are the kind of dominant, steamroller score-lines that world no.1 Iga Swiatek regularly reels off…

Shnaider is in Swiatek’s side of the draw here. While the Polish star is 4/1 at best, we can get 40/1 for the fast-rising Russian.

As I write, Diana has won seven of her last nine matches on hard courts, including a noteworthy run to the Semi Finals at the WTA 1000 event in Cincinnati this month. Prior to that, Shnaider made the Finals in tournaments either side of Wimbledon – winning both.

We’ve seen unheralded young women ride form and momentum all the way to the US Open title in recent years – Emma Raducanu being the most famous case. Right now, Shnaider has that no-fear, all-out-attack look about her. This 20-year-old is one to watch. Let’s back her today.

I’ve got plenty more to say about the women’s event. But we don’t want to blow all our chips in the first few days. There’s a long way to go yet in New York. We’ll add Shnaider to the book today, seeing as she plays in the 2nd Round this afternoon (4pm).

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Ones to Watch picks:

See above for full details

US Open 2024 – Women’s

Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

  • Diana Shnaider @ 40/1 Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Boylesports, Ladbrokes, Coral, Unibet, BetUK, BetMGM, LiveScoreBet, Betway

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I’ll be back with more US Open updates for you soon. The tournament runs until next weekend…

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch