Tennis Betting Advice - January 2023
Australian Open: Day 3 - Name the Finalists at 30/1...
Tuesday 17th January 2023
Good afternoon, and welcome to Day 3 of your Australian Open 2023 daily service.
Play starts from midnight, UK time…
While the temperature has dropped below zero here, it’s a very different story over in Melbourne. With courts hitting 35 degrees+ on Tuesday, triggering the Heat Rule – and the suspension of play.
The box-office matches got played under a roof on each of the three stadium courts. But the upshot is there are several uncompleted matches from the Day 2 schedule to be resumed tonight, along with a batch that didn’t even get to start…
The latter category includes one of our big-price women’s Outright Winner picks, Beatriz Haddad Maia. The Brazilian can still be backed at 66/1 with Skybet, Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook. Catch up on yesterday’s email and Each Way advice here.
Our other two ladies did get out on court, and both got the job done. With Veronika Kudermetova winning 2-0. And 17-year-old Linda Fruhvirtova also winning her 1st round match in straight sets. We’re on Kudermetova as a Russian dark horse for the title at 25/1. And Linda F as a Czech teenage long-shot with plenty of Ones to Watch credentials at 100/1+. Again, catch up here.
Our two men’s picks are in action in the 2nd round tonight – Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov. Both are still available at 100/1 each with the likes of Skybet, William Hill, and Boylesports – and Bet365 going 125/1 for Shapovalov.
Name the Finalists at 30/1…
In yesterday’s analysis we spoke about the ‘new name on the trophy’ factor in the women’s Grand Slams. Fifteen of the last 28 women’s Majors have seen a maiden winner. And with no Serena Williams, no Ash Barty, and no Naomi Osaka here at the Australian Open 2023 – the stage looks set once again for someone to break through and make the big step up at a Grand Slam…
We’ve got Kudermetova, Haddad Maia, and Fruhvirtova in the book already – all of whom fit into that potential first-time-champion category. And all at nice big Each Way prices.
At shorter prices in the Outright betting – around 8/1 each – two that I touched on yesterday as Ones to Watch alumni are Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka. And rather than take the single-digit prices in the Outright Winner market. My big-odds antenna is twitching for a more speculative but also more lucrative angle – and that’s backing these two to meet in the final…
Pegula is in the top half of the draw (2nd Quarter). Sabalenka is in the bottom half (4th Quarter). Both are priced at around 7/4 (2.75) each to win their respective Quarters – eg. to reach the semi final. I wouldn’t put you off a couple of singles there if that’s what you fancy. But the path I’m taking could lead to us to a 25/1+ final…
Both women have been edging closer to making it to a debut Grand Slam final:
This NAME THE FINALISTS market might not be to everyone’s taste, requiring two players to win through to the final in order to land the payout…
But I had PEGULA & SABALENKA in my notes last night before the revised markets were available to peruse – and when the prices came back online, my gut instinct was that 30/1, 28/1 & 25/1 looked good. I was expecting to see shorter.
If world no.1 and tournament fav Swiatek falters at any stage between now and the semis, then these two could be the names to make it to the championship match a week on Sunday.
Day 3 – Match Winner Acca…
With a stacked match schedule across tonight and Wednesday morning, I’ve put together my first Match Winner acca of the tournament…
This 10-fold women’s match combo pays 5/1 (6.0) – 6/1 (7.0), depending on your bookie. I recommend using BetVictor, William Hill, Betway, Bet365, Skybet, Boylesports, for this reason.
Here’s the acca at odds of 6.68 with William Hill:
Those names again, to all win their respective matches tonight/ Wednesday AM:
Ostapenko
Krejcikova
Andreescu
Sakkari
Teichmann
Pegula
Haddad Maia
Kasatkina
Kostyuk
Qinwen Zheng
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Ones to Watch picks:
Australian Open 2023
Women’s – Name the Finalists:
Women’s – Match Winners:
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I’ll be back by 5pm Wednesday with your Day 4 email and advice…
P.S
You can email me during the tournament at:
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson