Tennis Betting Advice - September 2021

Ones to Watch this week - including a 50/1 teenager...

Monday 27th September 2021

In Ones to Watch today:

  • Four tournaments…
  • Indoor form for Emil…
  • 22/1, 28/1, and 50/1 outsiders in Chicago…

We signed off with a winner last time out. Clara Tauson is proving a very good teenager to follow. The 18-year-old lifted her second WTA 250 title of the year, collecting the prize indoors at WTA Luxembourg at odds in the region of 16/1 and 10/1.

We’ve also got the Danish youngster in the book as a 100/1 early-bird Ones to Watch pick for next January’s Australian Open.

Tauson is now up to a new career high of no.52 in the world. In the years to come, she’s expected to go much, much higher. In my opinion, if she stays fit, Clara can go Top 5 one day.

Four tournaments…

We’re back in action this week, with four tournaments on the schedule. Two on the men’s tour and two on the women’s – with one apiece outdoors & indoors…

ATP 250 San Diego, USA – San Diego Open – hard court
ATP 250 Sofia, Bulgaria – Sofia Open – indoor hard

WTA 500 Chicago, USA – Chicago Fall Classic – hard
WTA 250 Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan – Astana Open – indoor hard

Indoor form for Emil…

As ever, we’re approaching the Outright Winner markets by looking beyond the short-price favourites, and hunting instead for young or underrated players – at attractive Each Way prices…

At ATP Sofia, one young man that fits the bill is our Ones to Watch in 2021 name, Emil Ruusuvuori. As outlined in our pre-season report, Ruusuvuori is one to follow in particular on indoor hard courts

Emil’s career indoor match win-loss record is a hard-to-ignore 70-24. That’s a 74% win-rate.

Heading into this week in Bulgaria, the Finnish 22-year-old’s best ATP tournament results have all come indoors. Notably a quarter-final showing in the men’s event at Nur-Sultan last week, and a semi-final run there the year before.

On the lower-tier circuit, all 10 of Emil’s titles have come on hard courts – with six of them played under a roof. He’s available at 16/1 and 18/1 today, with a standout 20/1 at Unibet.

  • In the 1st round in Sofia this week, Ruusuvuori is due to play last week’s ATP Nur-Sultan runner-up, James Duckworth. The Australian may struggle to follow-up his big run, with that final in Kazakhstan played on Sunday. The bookies have Emil as a 4/9 (1.44) favourite in the Match Winner betting

Go big in the Windy City…

Over in the States at WTA Chicago, this 500-grade event has attracted a strong field…

With 2019 US Open champion Bianca Andreescu leading the pack, at 9/1 at best. Established names like Elina Svitolina, Garbine Muguruza, and Victoria Azarenka are here, too. As are on-the-up players such as Elena Rybakina, Ons Jabeur, Belinda Bencic, and Jessica Pegula.

Along with last week’s WTA 500 Ostrava winner, Anett Kontaveit, all those women are priced at 16/1 or shorter, with most in the 10/1 – 12/1 bracket.

Those names are all respected by me. But I’m after some bigger prices here. As we’ve seen time and time again, the women’s game is wide-open for shocks & upsets. So much so, in fact, that a massive-price finalist isn’t actually much of a surprise these days, even in the Grand Slams.

The three players I like as Each Way contenders here are all names we talked about and/ or followed over the summer:

Danielle Collins @ 22/1 – the American has won her first two WTA titles this season, including San Jose on outdoor hard courts in the States in August.

Jil Belen Teichmann @ 28/1 – the Swiss was a 200/1 finalist at the WTA 1000 in Cincinnati this summer. She also made a quarter final on outdoor hard courts last week.

Both Collins and Teichmann seem to revel in underdog situations, and have the power to hit through opponents when on song. As does 19-year-old Ukrainian, Marta Kostyuk. The teenager is yet to lift a Senior WTA title – odds of 50/1 make her one to follow while she’s on the rise…

Ones to Watch

Outright Winner – Each Way

ATP Sofia – Sofia Open

  • Emil Ruusuvuori @ 20/1 Unibet, 18/1 BetVictor, MansionBet, NetBet, 10Bet, 16/1 Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betfred, Boylesports

WTA Chicago – Chicago Fall Classic

  • Danielle Collins @ 22/1 Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor, Betway, 20/1 William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral 
  • Jil Belen Teichmann @ 28/1 Bet365, Skybet, William Hill, Betway, Ladbrokes, Coral, 25/1 Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor
  • Marta Kostyuk @ 50/1 Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betway, 45/1 BetVictor, 40/1 Skybet, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral

Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places.

Play starts from 2pm UK time in Sofia, and 3pm in Chicago. Bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets during the day’s matches.

You can watch all of this week’s tournaments live on Amazon Prime Video.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch