Tennis Betting Advice - October 2025
You decide: a 9/1 winner... or a 50/1 runner-up?
Monday 6th October 2025
We saw a good demonstration of the Ones to Watch method at work last week…
Deliberately snubbing the pre-tournament favourites at the China Open, Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff - priced in the region of just 2/1 and 6/1 respectively…
We went after three outsiders instead, at odds of 22/1, 50/1, and 100/1…
And it was our 50/1 pick, Ones to Watch youngster, Linda Noskova, who went on to deliver the returns…
The 20-year-old Czech reached her first ever WTA 1000 final. Finishing runner-up in Beijing, beaten in the final by 9/1 shot Amanda Anisimova.
This is why we bet, the way we do:
In the tournament Outright Winner markets, we back appealing outsiders at attractive Each Way prices…
Eventual champion Anisimova got a mention in my WTA Beijing preview last month. It was ‘only’ the short 9/1 price that put me off:
“Third seed Amanda Anisimova is riding high after reaching back-to-back Grand Slam finals at Wimbledon and the US Open this summer. But that leap forward is reflected in short prices here, with the 24-year-old American priced at just 9/1 for the trophy. In comparison, she was 22/1 in New York, 33/1 at SW19… and 50/1 when winning the WTA 1000 title in Doha in February.”
Noskova’s recent form made it harder to make a case for her on paper. Prior to Beijing, Linda had only managed to win four matches in a row at a tournament on one occasion all season (and that was at her home event in Prague). But tennis tournaments aren’t played on paper…
Talent is talent. Potential can turn into performance at any point. And as we discussed in this column three weeks ago, price is king…
So, there you have it…
Back a favourite at single figures who wins the trophy…
Or take an underdog at a big price, with a half-the-odds payout producing more profit than if you’d put the same stake money on the actual tournament winner…
This is how we play at Ones to Watch.
A 20-year-old getting to their first ‘Masters’ 1000 final at 50/1 Each Way is exactly the kind of bet that has kept us in business for 12 years and counting…
Of course, we don’t just want the Each Way returns. The full win is when we get the real nights of celebration…
We’ve had six players reach finals so far in 2025, with three finishing runner-up - and the other three winning the trophy for us at the full odds.
And the season isn’t done yet…
We’re already in action at the ATP 1000 Rolex Shanghai Masters this week. Our 40/1 Each Way pick Jiri Lehecka is through to the Last 16. The bookies make the Czech the favourite to win that next match, and progress to the quarter finals.
What’s more, the odds-on, 4/5 (1.8) outright favourite Jannik Sinner is out of the tournament (in-match injury retirement). And with world no.1 Carlos Alcaraz having pulled out of the draw before the event began. Along with the next highest-ranked man, Alexander Zverev, knocked out this morning. The Shanghai Masters field is looking nice and open for us…
There’s also a women’s 1000 event in China this week. WTA Wuhan started this morning. There are no prices up as I write, with the day-one late match still in action as I type this.
P.S
Were you on Noskova at 50/1 Each Way? Let me know…
Email me direct at: oliver@spapublishinggroup.co.uk
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone