Tennis Betting Advice - February 2023
Wimbledon early-bird at 66/1...
Thursday 23rd February 2023
I told you it was a busy week…
As I write, we’ve got two Outright Winner picks still in the hat for this week’s tournaments…
French teenager Arthur Fils takes on trophy favourite Jannik Sinner at ATP Marseille at around 5pm today. We’re on the 28/1 outsider for that event, with 18-year-old Fils impressing on indoor hard courts so far this year.
In the women’s, we’re on Elisabetta Cocciaretto. The 22-year-old Italian is through to the quarter finals at WTA Merida, and is yet to drop a set. Our 16/1 shot is now 15/2 (8.5) to go all the way.
And earlier today, I sent out a handful of match picks for tonight’s matches at ATP Rio and WTA Merida. View the 10/1 acca here. Play starts from 7.30pm, UK time.
The early bird gets the worm…
Looking forward now to the summer, and the real heart of the tennis season. We often do some of our best Ones to Watch business by getting on an outsider at a big price for a Grand Slam tournament, early doors. And I’ve got one such selection to add to the book today…
So far, our 2023 ante-post book contains two big prices for the Grand Slams…
Today I want to get behind a great player with – in my opinion – more than an outside chance of going deep at Wimbledon this July…
Wimbledon 2023 – Karolina Muchova @ 66/1…
Karolina Muchova is currently ranked no.112 in the world. But if ever a ranking didn’t reflect a player’s quality, then this is it. The 26-year-old Czech has been plagued by injuries in her career. Quite simply, injuries are the only thing stopping her going for the big-time…
Muchova has been as high as no.19 before. She certainly has the game and talent to maintain a Top 20 ranking or higher – if fitness & form can only go hand-in-hand long enough for her to mount a consistent challenge…
One thing’s for sure, Karolina has started 2023 in promising form. And crucially – no injury retirements as of yet. I’ve been followed the skilful right-hander’s progress at WTA Dubai this week, which is the first WTA ‘Masters’ 1000 event of the season. And I’ve been impressed.
As I write this Thursday afternoon, Muchova will be in the locker-room limbering up for a quarter-final match with world no.3 Jessica Pegula. If the Czech underdog continues her charge in Dubai, people will likely start taking nibbles or chunks out of her prices for the upcoming Majors…
And for me, the big one that matches up with Muchova’s mix of craft, power, and sheer ball-playing talent is clear: the grass courts of Wimbledon…
Turf always plays into the hands of players with the hands and smarts to execute mean slices and drop-shots. Karolina Muchova is right up there in that category for me.
Indeed, this time last year, I had two names on my note-sheet as potential women’s Wimbledon 2022 picks: Muchova, and Ons Jabeur. The former didn’t make the cut for me due to fitness concerns. The latter went out to members as a 40/1 early-bird pick, and Jabeur rewarded us at SW19 last summer by going all the way to her first Grand Slam final, for a half-the-odds Each Way payout.
This year, Jabeur – now bedded-in as a Top 5 player – is trading at 10/1 for Wimbledon. While the lowly-ranked but supremely gifted and capable Muchova can be backed at 66/1 with a few of the big firms, and 80/1 with the sportsbook offered online by the likes of 10Bet and LiveScoreBet. Let’s take a bit of those early-bird, Each Way offerings today.
Already this week on the hard courts of Dubai, Muchova has shown what she can do. Overturning the odds to knock out the in-form Belinda Bencic in the last round. And making it into her second WTA quarter final of the year – from just four tournaments played in total.
Here are a few bullet points from my Wimbledon/ Muchova notepad. I’m pretty much pasting them how I’d originally jotted them down:
Let’s get the world no.112 in the book today. The early bird gets the worm…
----------------------------------------------------
Ones to Watch picks:
Wimbledon 2023 – Women’s
Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):
----------------------------------------------------
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson